In the past month Turnleaf’s 12-month inflation forecast for India has edged lower as the pace of food and energy price increases slowed. This moderation reflects seasonal dynamics and temporary declines in current market prices rather than any meaningful...
“Are you on mute?” is perhaps the most succinct catchphrase which most comprehensively describes the post-covid landscape of work. Yet, despite the plethora of video conferencing tools out there, there is still something to be said for being there in...
The Autumn 2025 Budget, scheduled for 26 November, is expected to deliver substantial fiscal tightening. Independent forecasts estimate a tax-raising package in the region of £20–40 billion, with several analyses clustering around £38 billion. Such consolidation...
The 43-day U.S. government shutdown has materially degraded the quality of October’s inflation data. With BLS field operations suspended for the duration of the collection window, almost no primary price data were gathered. Any October CPI release will therefore rely...
I recently went back to Imperial College. Whilst, I’ve been back many times since I graduated, this was the first time that I was returning to stand in front of an audience to present my research. I was giving a talk about trading FX using Reuters News data with...
The Norway Statistical Institute recently revised the latest CPI print from 3.3% to 3.1%, correcting an error in electricity-price calculations that overstated inflation. Despite this adjustment, the institute maintained that the broader inflation picture, including...
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