Germany, long regarded as Europe’s economic powerhouse, owes much of its success to its export-driven industrial base. However, recent years have seen this foundation weaken under the weight of declining global demand, shifting supply chain dynamics, and rising...
France’s inflation remains near the European Central Bank’s (ECB) 2% target despite significant fiscal spending during the pandemic and in response to the war in Ukraine. However, this spending has sustained a fiscal deficit of 5.5% of GDP since 2023—well above the...
South Korea’s brief declaration and subsequent revocation of martial law by President Yoon has damaged investor confidence, further weakening the won and placing pressure on the country’s inflation trajectory. This political instability comes at a critical time for...
Global Inflation Amid Trade Uncertainties Good afternoon and welcome to Turnleaf’s global inflation call. For the past month, global inflation expectations have been shaped by global trade uncertainty as proposed U.S. tariffs could hurt key global industries while...
Over the past years, the quant industry has changed substantially. My first visit to Global Derivatives was just over a decade ago. At the time, perhaps unsurprisingly, the conference was dominated by presentations about option pricing. Over the years, the content has...
As Poland navigates a complex economic landscape, its rapid growth, fueled by competitive wages and strong manufacturing, faces challenges from both domestic and external pressures. The country’s success in attracting manufacturing investments has driven robust...
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