Providing Clarity To
Financial Institutions
We harness the power of machine learning, alternative data and new technologies to create economic forecasts of inflation and analyze financial markets, in order to provide our clients the much needed clarity required when navigating the complex financial landscape.
Finding An Edge Wherever Possible
Macroeconomic forecasting
We provide forecasts of inflation up 12 months in the future, by leveraging a wide array of macro-economic indicators and alternative data.
Intelligent Forecasting
Sometimes the relationships between market and economic variables can be very complex. We use machine learning to model these relationships in a more cohesive manner.
Media Volume Dashboards
Focus on emerging and developed markets
We focus on emerging and developed markets, allowing our clients to find value in places where other people can’t.
Monthly and Weekly forecasts for select markets
We update our forecasts monthly, and weekly for major economies (US, Eurozone, UK)
Inter-disciplinary Approach
Our approach combines our expertise in the intersection of financial markets, diverse datasets and quantitative techniques.
Remove Uncertainty
Our powerful models give you everything you need in order to remove the guesswork from determining immediate market conditions.
Stay ahead of the competition.
Strategies implementing our forecasts have been back-tested and shown to increase trading revenue.
Get a global perspective on the inflation landscape
Reduce uncertainty and minimise risk.
Always stay up to date.
Find new opportunities.
Variables Taken Into Account
Inflation indicators forecasted
%
Accuracy in beating the benchmark
Countries, accounting for 90% of global GDP
Tracked Forecasts since May 2022
%
Mean Absolute Error, compared to 1.66% for the Benchmark, as of 28.02.2023
Variables Taken Into Account
Inflation indicators forecasted
%
Accuracy in beating the benchmark
Countries, accounting for 90% of global GDP
Tracked Forecasts since May 2022
%
Mean Absolute Error, compared to Benchmark of 1.66%
Interested In Our Forecasts ?
We are always eager to speak with people interested in our products, be they potential clients or business partners.
How It Works
Intelligent forecasting for the Big Data age.
What type of data we use
We make use of vast data sources of quantitative and alternative data, in order to bring the performance of our models into the Big Data Age.
Geopolitical
- Geopolitical risk news
- World trade uncertainty, etc.
Labour
- Online job adverts
- Slack labour statistics, etc.
Output, Production, Business Activity
- Air pollutants & air quality & rainfall
- Electricity consumption & shortages
- Factory capacity utilization
- Oil rig counts
- Natural resources stock levels (incl. injections & withdrawals), etc.
Retail
- Airport arrivals and departures
- Restaurant visits & reservations
- Ground, sea & air traffic
- Entertainment ticket sales
- Overnight stays and expenditures
- Vehicle registrations, etc.
Sentiment & Expectations
- News sentiment on:
- Food
- Energy
- Communications
- Entertainment
- Housing, etc.
Coming Soon
H1 2023
Expansion
Release forecasts for: Core CPI, Industrial Production/GDP/ISM, Unemployment
H2 2023
Acceleration
Release forecasts for: Producer Price Indices, Retail Sales, Housing Index/Activity/Sales/Starts, Credit Growth
H1 2024
Forecast Asset Rates
Release forecasts for Interest Rates, Bond Yields, FX (major crosses), Equity Indices, Fixed Income Volatility, Equity Volatility, FX Volatility
H2 2024
General Forecasting
Release forecasts for Durable Goods Orders, Inventories, Capital Goods Shipment, Payrolls, Jobless Claims, Wages, Real and Nominal Disposable Income, Average Hourly Earnings
Coming Soon
H1 2023
Expansion
Release forecasts for Core CPI, Industrial Production/GDP/ISM, Unemployment
H2 2023
Acceleration
Release forecasts for: Producer Price Indices, Retail Sales, Housing Index/Activity/Sales/Starts, Credit Growth
H1 2024
Forecast Assets Rates
Release forecasts for Interest Rates, Bond Yields, FX (major crosses), Equity Indices, Fixed Income Volatility, Equity Volatility, FX Volatility
H2 2024
General Forecasting
Release forecasts for Durable Goods Orders, Inventories, Capital Goods Shipment, Payrolls, Jobless Claims, Wages, Real and Nominal Disposable Income, Average Hourly Earnings
Our Founding Team
Our founding team has unparalleled combined skills in economics, finance, quantitative strategies and artificial intelligence.
Alexander Denev
CEO and Head of R&D
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- Former Head of Artificial Intelligence for Deloitte LLP, Financial Services.
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- Former Head of Quantitative Research & Advanced Analytics at IHS Markit.
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- Co-authored the books “The Book of Alternative Data” and “Portfolio Management under Stress”.
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- Authored the book “Probabilistic Graphical Models – a New Thinking in Financial Modelling”.
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- Visiting lecturer at the University of Oxford.
Saeed Amen
CTO and Head of Data
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- 15+ years of experience in quantitative modelling across several financial institutions, (e.g. Lehman Brothers and Nomura)
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- Founder of Cuemacro, providing systematic trading strategies for major investment banks
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- Co-founder of Thalesians – a think tank of dedicated professionals with an interest in finance, economics, mathematics
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- Co-authored “The Book of Alternative Data”.
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- Visiting lecturer at Queen Mary University of London.
Our Books
