Recently, housing prices in the Czech Republic have increasingly exerted upward pressure on inflation. Our June 2025 Forecast Word Cloud highlights the primary drivers influencing our projections. Consistent with recent economic trends, our forecast places particular...
At the end of May 2025, the Orban government decided to extend the profit margin cap on 30 essential food items through August 2025, in line with previous guidance stating the cap would continue if food inflation did not drop below 5%. Local reports initially...
In 2024, volatile vegetable prices repeatedly triggered in-market releases from India’s Price Stabilisation Fund (PSF). PSF, launched in 2014–15, was designed to curb extreme price swings in key perishables—initially onions and potatoes, later pulses—by allowing the...
Over the past 24 hours, Israel’s strike on Iran has markedly increased upside risks to inflation in the country. Just as tariffs introduce additional costs to consumers, businesses tend to pass on the cost of war to consumers. The risk of cargo ships getting entangled...
Since the start of the year, housing market indicators have increasingly correlated with rising inflation pressures. Interestingly, Spain classifies mortgages as financial assets, excluding them from the CPI basket. Instead, tenant rents, a proxy reflecting potential...
Our United States CPI YoY, NSA model continues to flag two quiet but disinflationary forces: a moderate rise in unemployment and trends in disability-program flows. To qualify for Social-Security Disability Insurance, applicants must show their condition limits...
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