On the cusp of a new year, the question top of mind for many governments, businesses and individuals must be “What will economic growth and inflation be in 2024?” After all, 2022-2023 may well be remembered as the years that central banks and economists made major...
We are pleased to announce that we are starting to update our inflation forecasts on a weekly basis. Our first weekly forecast is for the United States, where: our model expects next week’s US CPI YoY NSA print for January to be 6.2% (revised from 6.04% from our last...
Headline inflation for Eurozone was released today (8.5%) and it came as a surprise against the short-term consensus (9%). Our prediction for this reading (8.8%) published one month ago came much closer to the realized inflation figure. The market from yesterday was...
Headline inflation for Spain was released today (5.8%) and it came as a surprise against the short-term consensus (4.7%). Our prediction for this reading (5.79%) published one month ago came much closer to the realized inflation figure. Our model picked well in...
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