Turnleaf is forecasting 2–2.5% headline inflation for the Eurozone in 2025, while core inflation is expected to decline through the end of the year towards 2% as momentum in wage growth slows and fiscal normalization settles. The uptick in inflation observed in...
The Polish government’s decision to extend the cap on electricity prices at 500 PLN/MWh is a critical measure to limit inflationary pressures on households. To understand its implications, consider an average 3-person household with an annual electricity consumption...
At Turnleaf Analytics, leveraging our machine learning models, we project U.S. inflation to stabilize between 2–3% through 2025, shaped by the interplay of import inflation, expectations, and economic slack, especially with the possibility of new tariffs. Rising...
Germany, long regarded as Europe’s economic powerhouse, owes much of its success to its export-driven industrial base. However, recent years have seen this foundation weaken under the weight of declining global demand, shifting supply chain dynamics, and rising...
France’s inflation remains near the European Central Bank’s (ECB) 2% target despite significant fiscal spending during the pandemic and in response to the war in Ukraine. However, this spending has sustained a fiscal deficit of 5.5% of GDP since 2023—well above the...
South Korea’s brief declaration and subsequent revocation of martial law by President Yoon has damaged investor confidence, further weakening the won and placing pressure on the country’s inflation trajectory. This political instability comes at a critical time for...
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