Turnleaf Inflation Forecaster
Know how inflation will move — accurately, almost anywhere, for the next 12 months
We combine alternative data and AI for time series using our proprietary software to give you accurate forecasts across multiple time horizons and countries
Our Edge
in beating the benchmarks
vs 1.05% for benchmarks
representing more than 90% of global GDP and tradeable markets
updated bi-weekly
in beating the benchmarks
vs 1.05% for benchmarks
representing more than 90% of global GDP and tradeable markets
updated bi-weekly
Our Track Record
100+ Inflation models in production
12,000+ tracked forecasts since May 2022
Published performance from our trading strategies
Be Ready for Whatever Comes Next
We can help you better understand, prepare for, and navigate tomorrow’s global economy. We follow a purely quantitative approach to deliver inflation forecasts with unparalleled accuracy and relevance across 35 countries — for up to 12 months in the future. With Turnleaf’s Inflation Forecasts, you will:
Go beyond traditional macro-economic predictions
Trade with better forecasts that reliably beat benchmarks
Continuously improve your P&L — even as the global economy evolves
What Makes Our Approach Different
Alternative Data
- We enhance traditional datasets with cutting-edge alternative data.
AI for Time Series
- We apply proprietary machine learning techniques and advanced AI.
Proprietary Technology
- We have our own software, and top quantitative talent to build models.
What You Get
Contribution Plots
We track the variables with the biggest impact as inflation drivers, and report on them, allowing our clients a much deeper inspection into what drives our forecasts.
Turnleaf Reports
We track and report the differences between our forecasts and the benchmarks, helping our customers to spot mismatches and opportunities between markets.
Inflation Market Dashboard
We monitor the market implied future inflation releases, in order to provide the most up-to-date data on the moves of the market.
Trading Strategies
We have derived seven different trading strategies based on our data and approach that traders can use.
Additional Features
Tracking
We offer dashboards to follow our model’s real-time performance including model error and hit ratio.
Benchmarks
We benchmark our forecasts based on central banks and economist’s projections, and market data.
Consistency
We continuously monitor and evaluate model performance to maintain the same quality of insights.
Analysis
We provide explanatory notes and contextual narratives when an interesting change occurs in a forecast.
Context
We offer plots and tables to fully explain the features driving our model and how they interact together.
Support Tools
We offer dashboards on news regarding inflation, Fed speeches sentiment, and market implied inflation.
Global Perspective
Countries and Indicators forecasted by Turnleaf Analytics
Technical Details
Zero Infrastructure
No internal model or infrastructure building or maintenance needed.
Data Delivery
Web portal, AWS Cloud Bucket, API, Snowflake integration
Compliance
All data, its access, and its usage is compliant with industry standards.
Zero Infrastructure
No internal model or infrastructure building or maintenance needed.
Data Delivery
Web portal, AWS Cloud Bucket, API, Snowflake integration
Compliance
All data, its access, and its usage is compliant with industry standards.
Three Layers Of Access
Web View Only
- Suitable for discretionary traders.
Web View + Historical Data Download
- Suitable for systematic traders.
Web View + Historical Data + API Access
- Ideal for systematic traders.